Peace Deal Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Peace Deal predictions & odds
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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Vol.
$851.1K
·
15
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
71%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
27%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
2%
Vol.
$7.6K
·
0
·
1d left
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 31
50%
December 31
8%
June 15
1%
Vol.
$56.3K
·
0
·
1mo left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
66%
December 31
43%
November 30
28%
Vol.
$1.8M
·
21
·
1mo left
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$67.1K
·
2
·
1mo left
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
6%
October 31
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$744.7K
·
11
·
1mo left
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Kazem Gharibabadi
43%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
39%
J.D. Vance
31%
Vol.
$77.3K
·
2
·
1mo left
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31, 2027
39%
June 30, 2027
22%
March 31, 2027
13%
Vol.
$365.1K
·
8
·
1mo left
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31
30%
November 30
21%
August 31
3%
Vol.
$141.3K
·
1
·
28d left
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$11.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026
41%
November 30, 2026
24%
September 24, 2026
14%
Vol.
$42.0K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Enriched Uranium Surrender
16%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
16%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
15%
Vol.
$45.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
74%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
26%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
0%
Vol.
$14.1K
·
0
·
1d left
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31
37%
November 30
26%
November 2
3%
Vol.
$122.9K
·
1
·
6d left
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31
22%
October 31
0%
September 23
0%
Vol.
$25.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement
95%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
4%
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
2%
Vol.
$59.4K
·
1
·
1d left
Geopolitics
Iran
U.S. x Iran
Trump
Iran Ceasefire
Strait of Hormuz
Middle East
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