Market overview
The outcomes break “What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?” into 6 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium, ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year), Iran Reconstruction Funding, Dilution of Iran's Uranium, Enriched Uranium Surrender, and Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year).
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.