Strait of Hormuz Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Strait of Hormuz predictions & odds
Range
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Volume
·
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US charges Hormuz fees by...?
Vol.
$38.9K
·
1
·
1mo left
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31
30%
November 30
21%
August 31
3%
Vol.
$141.3K
·
1
·
28d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$634.5K
·
6
·
1mo left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
July 31
100%
December 31
14%
November 30
7%
Vol.
$688.2K
·
11
·
1mo left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
65%
December 31
43%
November 30
28%
Vol.
$1.8M
·
21
·
1mo left
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31
12%
October 31
1%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$145.4K
·
3
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
74%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
26%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
0%
Vol.
$14.1K
·
0
·
1d left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement
95%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
4%
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
2%
Vol.
$59.4K
·
1
·
1d left
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31
39%
November 30
28%
November 2
3%
Vol.
$122.9K
·
1
·
6d left
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31
7%
September 30
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$3.1M
·
64
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
71%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
27%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
2%
Vol.
$7.7K
·
0
·
1d left
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31
2%
September 30
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$8.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
88%
November
5%
December
4%
Vol.
$21.9K
·
0
·
3mo left
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
November 30
7%
August 31
0%
September 30
0%
Vol.
$13.0K
·
0
·
28d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$176.4K
·
0
·
6d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Yes
No
Vol.
$42.4K
·
0
·
28d left
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