Trump Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Trump predictions & odds
Range
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Time
·
Any time
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Any volume
Showing All markets sorted by Any time
Geopolitics
Iran
U.S. x Iran
Middle East
Iran Ceasefire
Israel
Ukraine
Greenland
Russia
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$1.4M
·
1533
·
1mo left
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
6%
October 31
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$744.7K
·
11
·
1mo left
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
13%
November 30
6%
November 15
2%
Vol.
$533.5K
·
6
·
1mo left
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$436.8K
·
403
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
72%
4.0%
25%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$573.3K
·
8
·
1mo left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
85%
Delcy Rodríguez
11%
No Head of State
2%
Vol.
$4.0M
·
824
·
1mo left
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
2%
August 31
0%
April 30
0%
Vol.
$265.8K
·
16
·
1mo left
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$469.5K
·
95
·
1mo left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$3.1M
·
54
·
1mo left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
64%
December 31
43%
November 30
27%
Vol.
$1.8M
·
21
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
74%
No change
25%
50+ bps increase
2%
Vol.
$330.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 22
100%
September 20
100%
September 30
100%
Vol.
$1.3M
·
6
·
6d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$1.0M
·
131
·
1mo left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027
71%
November 30, 2027
68%
October 31, 2027
65%
Vol.
$417.4K
·
5
·
1mo left
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
3%
September 30
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$1.2M
·
24
·
1mo left
Fed Rates
Economic Policy
Military Strikes
