Kevin Warsh Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Kevin Warsh predictions & odds
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Showing All markets sorted by Any time
Fed
Fed Rates
Economic Policy
Trump
Macro Indicators
United States
Parlays
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
Vol.
$1.0K
·
0
·
2mo left
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
72%
Hike–Pause–Pause
25%
Other
1%
Vol.
$21.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
97%
1 (25 bps)
1%
2 (50 bps)
0%
Vol.
$2.1M
·
72
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
72%
4.0%
25%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?
December 31
16%
November 30
5%
October 31
3%
Vol.
$1.5K
·
0
·
1mo left
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%
22%
5.5%
10%
5.7%
5%
Vol.
$42.6K
·
1
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
73%
No change
26%
50+ bps increase
2%
Vol.
$330.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
73%
1 (25 bps)
28%
3 (75 bps)
1%
Vol.
$30.1K
·
1
·
1mo left
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
June 30, 2027
9%
December 31, 2026
2%
Vol.
$1.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
70%
25 bps increase
27%
25 bps decrease
2%
Vol.
$4.4K
·
0
·
2mo left
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
64%
1
15%
2
10%
Vol.
$1.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
4.5%
38%
4.25%
28%
4.75%
21%
Vol.
$790
·
0
·
1y left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
71%
↓ 1.5%
2%
↑ 5.5%
2%
Vol.
$75.5K
·
9
·
1mo left
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting
52%
April 2027 Meeting
36%
June 2027 Meeting
31%
Vol.
$153.5K
·
4
·
2mo left
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
62%
Pause-Pause-Pause
13%
Pause-Pause-Hike
12%
Vol.
$3.6K
·
0
·
2mo left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$17.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
