Fed Rates Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Fed Rates predictions & odds
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Fed
Economic Policy
Kevin Warsh
Trump
Macro Indicators
Courts
Parlays
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Vol.
$21.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
72%
4.0%
25%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%
94%
Below 4.8%
62%
Below 4.7%
43%
Vol.
$17.0K
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0
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
74%
No change
25%
50+ bps increase
2%
Vol.
$330.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed rate cut by...?
June 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
22%
July 2027 Meeting
21%
Vol.
$153.5K
·
4
·
2mo left
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%
94%
Below 4.65%
82%
Below 4.60%
68%
Vol.
$15.2K
·
0
·
1mo left
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.05%
38%
5.10%
35%
5.15%
24%
Vol.
$8.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%
95%
Below 5.20%
74%
Below 5.15%
53%
Vol.
$7.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
11%
May 30
0%
Vol.
$17.8K
·
2
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
97%
1 (25 bps)
1%
2 (50 bps)
0%
Vol.
$2.1M
·
72
·
1mo left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
71%
↓ 0.5%
3%
↑ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$75.5K
·
9
·
1mo left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$17.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
June 30, 2026
0%
Vol.
$12.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%
22%
5.5%
9%
5.7%
5%
Vol.
$42.6K
·
1
·
1mo left
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%
17%
5.80%
10%
5.90%
7%
Vol.
$10.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$8.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
