Fed Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Fed predictions & odds
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Fed Rates
Kevin Warsh
Economic Policy
Trump
Macro Indicators
Parlays
United States
Courts
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Vol.
$21.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
71%
↓ 0.5%
3%
↑ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$75.5K
·
9
·
1mo left
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
62%
Pause-Pause-Pause
13%
Pause-Pause-Hike
12%
Vol.
$3.6K
·
0
·
2mo left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
97%
1 (25 bps)
1%
2 (50 bps)
0%
Vol.
$2.1M
·
72
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
72%
4.0%
25%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
73%
1 (25 bps)
28%
3 (75 bps)
1%
Vol.
$30.1K
·
1
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
June 30, 2026
0%
Vol.
$12.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
11%
May 30
0%
Vol.
$17.8K
·
2
·
1mo left
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
June 30, 2027
9%
December 31, 2026
2%
Vol.
$1.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$17.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$8.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
74%
No change
25%
50+ bps increase
2%
Vol.
$330.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
December 31
8%
September 30
1%
October 31
1%
Vol.
$1.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
64%
1
15%
2
10%
Vol.
$1.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
70%
25 bps increase
27%
25 bps decrease
2%
Vol.
$4.4K
·
0
·
2mo left
Fed rate cut by...?
June 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
22%
July 2027 Meeting
21%
Vol.
$153.5K
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4
·
2mo left
