

Each outcome asks whether “Trump signs a bill from new Congress?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are January 31 and March 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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Nov 5, 2026 · 5:14am GMT+3
Feb 1, 2027 · 7:59am GMT+3
Feb 1, 2027 · 8:29am GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill or joint resolution passed by the 120th United States Congress into United States federal law between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation enacted over veto or without Trump's signature will not qualify, nor will legislation that received final congressional passage before the 120th Congress convened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.