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Each outcome asks whether “Congress Passes Iran War Powers Resolution?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are December 31, 2026 and March 31, 2027.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House and Senate both pass the same Iran War Powers Resolution, in identical form, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An "Iran War Powers Resolution" refers to a bill, measure, or resolution that (i) directs the removal of U.S. Armed Forces from hostilities against Iran; (ii) prohibits U.S. Armed Forces hostilities against Iran or requires specific congressional authorization for them; or (iii) prohibits federal funds from being used for U.S. Armed Forces hostilities against Iran, including where an exception is made for funds specifically authorized by Congress for that purpose. Measures containing exceptions (e.g., for self-defense or defense of allies) will still qualify provided the measure, by default, satisfies (i), (ii), or (iii).
The primary resolution source will be official congressional records, including Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.