Conditionals Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Conditionals predictions & odds
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Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Vol.
$21.0K
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0
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2d left
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
73%
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
26%
Oil < $85; D Senate
1%
Vol.
$43.7K
·
0
·
1d left
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
72%
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
28%
Oil < $80; D Senate
0%
Vol.
$30.6K
·
1
·
1d left
Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
60%
No Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
21%
Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds
15%
Vol.
$5
·
0
·
1y left
Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?
Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028
43%
Dem sweep; Dem loses 2028
23%
No Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028
22%
Vol.
$23
·
0
·
2y left
Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?
Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas
63%
No Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas
29%
Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.50
5%
Vol.
$10
·
0
·
1mo left
Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; China not #1
62%
No Dem sweep; China not #1
26%
Dem sweep; China #1 AI
8%
Vol.
$1
·
0
·
1y left
Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; No recession
46%
Dem sweep; Recession
22%
No Dem sweep; No recession
19%
Vol.
$5
·
0
·
1y left
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
95%
Shutdown & Republican Party
5%
Vol.
$14.6K
·
0
·
3mo left
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
94%
Not Extended & Republican Party
5%
Vol.
$16.5K
·
1
·
1d left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
71%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
27%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
2%
Vol.
$7.7K
·
0
·
1d left
Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?
Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas
51%
No Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas
23%
Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.50
17%
Vol.
$1
·
0
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement
95%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
4%
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
2%
Vol.
$59.4K
·
1
·
1d left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
74%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
26%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
0%
Vol.
$14.1K
·
0
·
1d left
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
26%
Vol.
$2.9K
·
0
·
1d left
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
29%
Oil < $80; R Senate
1%
Vol.
$2.1K
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0
·
1d left
Midterms
Midterm Combos
United States
Geopolitics
Senate
Congress
Iran
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Strait of Hormuz
Peace Deal
US Election
