Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
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Each outcome asks whether “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are July 15, March 31, February 28, September 30, December 31, and June 30, 2027.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.