

Each outcome asks whether “Kash Patel out?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are May 31, July 31, October 31, December 31, June 30, April 30, September 30, March 31, and August 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.