Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
金额
买入
The question is whether “共和党在中期选举前会失去众议院多数吗？?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
如果共和党在2026年11月3日计划举行的美国{2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections}投票开始前的任何时点不再拥有美国众\n 议院多数席位，则本市场将结算为“YES”。否则，本市场将结算为“NO”。
众议院多数指在当时拥有超过一半已就任投票议员的席位，不包括空缺席位。平局不算多数。
本市场的主要结算来源将是美国众议院新闻画廊的官方信息（https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown）；但也可能使用可信报道的共识。