

The question is whether “Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$39
30-day total
$1.3
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
11 1, 2026 · 01:18 GMT+3
1 6, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 6, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.