Which Senate races will be within 5%?
金额
买入
The outcomes break “哪些参议院竞选将在5%以内？?” into 20 separately evaluated possibilities.
The market includes 20 possibilities, including Florida (Special), Montana, Michigan, and Virginia.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.
2026年中期选举定于2026年11月3日举行。
如果指定的2026年参议院竞选的获胜差距为5%或更少，本市场将结算为"Yes"。否则，本市场将结算为"No"。
就本市场而言，“获胜差距”定义为第一名和第二名候选人获得的有效选票百分比之间的绝对差值。每位候选人获得的有效选票百分比将通过将前两名候选人各自获得的有效选票总数除以所有有效选票的总和来确定。