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Science Prediction Markets & Odds | Pariflow
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Thị trường Khoa học
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Thời gian
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Đang hiển thị thị trường Tất cả, sắp xếp theo Mọi thời gian
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Vol.
$13.4K
·
4
·
2mo left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
3%
October 31
1%
September 30
0%
Vol.
$2.8M
·
47
·
2mo left
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027
67%
September 30, 2027
42%
June 30, 2027
29%
Vol.
$6.2K
·
0
·
1y left
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑4k
99%
↑4.5k
98%
↑4.75k
93%
Vol.
$344.3K
·
344
·
2mo left
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
YES
NO
Vol.
$23.5K
·
24
·
2mo left
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
YES
NO
Vol.
$5.0K
·
0
·
2mo left
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
56%
December 31, 2026
20%
September 30, 2026
0%
Vol.
$22.8K
·
0
·
1y left
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture
37%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
24%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
21%
Vol.
$7.9K
·
0
·
1y left
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
61%
<5
36%
7-8
1%
Vol.
$20.6K
·
1
·
2mo left
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027
70%
June 30, 2027
45%
December 31, 2026
4%
Vol.
$41.0K
·
0
·
2mo left
New pandemic in 2026?
YES
NO
Vol.
$43.7K
·
3
·
2mo left
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
75%
December 31, 2026
25%
September 30, 2026
0%
Vol.
$14.4K
·
0
·
2mo left
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
YES
NO
Vol.
$7.8K
·
3
·
2mo left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028
38%
December 31, 2027
13%
December 31, 2026
3%
Vol.
$11.5K
·
0
·
2mo left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic
54%
SpaceX
45%
OpenAI
1%
Vol.
$254.6K
·
7
·
2mo left
Human moon landing in 2026?
NO
99%
YES
1%
Vol.
$79.5K
·
71
·
2mo left