

Each outcome asks whether “US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are July 31, October 31, and December 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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jul. 11, 2026 · 22:34 GMT+3
jan. 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
jan. 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
On December 14, 2020, the United States imposed CAATSA sanctions on Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) in response to Turkey’s acquisition of the Russian S-400 air defense system (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/the-united-states-sanctions-turkey-under-caatsa-231/). On July 7, 2026 U.S. President Donald Trump indicated his intent to lift sanctions off Turkey(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-says-will-lift-turkey-sanctions-decide-selling-f-35s-2026-07-07/)
Este mercado será resolvido para “Yes” se o governo federal dos United States emitir um waiver, license, ter…