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Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Volume$646•EndsDec 31, 2026•195d 10h left
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New Zealand· $103 | 23% | |
Belgium· $91 | 21% | |
The Netherlands· $89 | 20% | |
Finland· $80 | 18% | |
Italy· $78 | 18% | |
Japan· $56 | 13% | |
Greece· $52 | 12% | |
United States· $38 | 9% | |
Germany· $30 | 7% | |
Austria· $29 | 7% |
New Zealand· $103
Belgium· $91
The Netherlands· $89
Finland· $80
Italy· $78
Japan· $56
Greece· $52
United States· $38
Germany· $30
Austria· $29
Timeline and payout
Market open
May 1, 2026 · 10:22am GMT+3
Market closes
Dec 31, 2026 · 3:00am GMT+3
Projected payout
Dec 31, 2026 · 3:30am GMT+3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.