
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Vol.$32.8K
•EndsJun 30, 2026
•Live42d 15h left
Top outcomes
11 outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Trade |
|---|---|---|
100% | ||
2% | ||
11% | ||
2% | ||
2% | ||
5% |
Top outcomes
11 outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Trade |
|---|---|---|
100% | ||
2% | ||
11% | ||
2% | ||
2% | ||
5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Insight
