Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Name: Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Start: 2026-04-28T15:30:27.067Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Market Volume

$19.3K

Total traded

End Date

Jun 30, 2026

62d 4h left

Most likely outcomes

Choose an outcome from the board, then trade it in the ticket.

Top outcomes ranked by current chance.

10 outcomes

Outcome	Chance	Trade
	5%
	5%
	3%
	13%
	2%

PARIFLOW

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.