•

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Name: Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Start: 2026-04-28T15:30:27.067Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Volume$1.3K•EndsJun 30, 2026•17d 0h left

Pariflow

OpenAI· $674	7%
xAI· $96	1%
DeepSeek· $91	1%
Meta· $86	1%
Z.ai· $76	1%
Alibaba· $71	1%
Nvidia· $66	1%
Baidu· $56	1%
Mistral· $51	1%
Meituan· $30	0%

OpenAI· $674

xAI· $96

DeepSeek· $91

Meta· $86

Z.ai· $76

Alibaba· $71

Nvidia· $66

Baidu· $56

Mistral· $51

Meituan· $30

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.