How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
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The contract settles on the final count for “How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?” over the stated measurement period.
The 3 listed count choices are 7+, 4-6, and 1-3.
The final count depends on the exact unit, qualifying criteria, observation window, and source documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.