

Each outcome asks whether “Carles Puigdemont back in Spain?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are December 31, October 15, and October 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$3.03K
30-day total
$100.87
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
Oct 7, 2026 · 11:14am GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 7:59am GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 8:29am GMT+3
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.