Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Up or Down: Live Odds & Price to Beat

Oct 4 – Oct 5

Ends in

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Current price: 86,499.99
Price to beat: $85,256.01

▲ 1,243.98from the price to beat

Market sentiment

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Waiting for trades

Up —— Down

Up or Down market

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24h volume · Liquidity —

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Trading activity

— trades

BTC spot trades, last 7 days

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Top picks

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Overview

Price to beat: $85,256.01
Current price: $86,499.99
Change: ▲ $1,243.98+1.46%
Up chance: 83%
Window: Oct 4 – Oct 5
Trading closes: 600s before the end
Price source: Binance BTC/USDT

Largest positions

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is lower than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is higher than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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