

The question is whether “伊朗会在2027年前退出《核不扩散条约》吗??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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2 22, 2026 · 18:19 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果伊朗伊斯兰共和国在2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59之前,依据条约第X条正式向联合国通知其退出《核不扩散条约》(NPT)的决定,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
要符合条件,伊朗政府必须发布一份正式的书面通知,明确声明其依据《核不扩散条约》第X条的退出意图。
本市场的结算来源将是可信报道的共识。