

The outcomes break “美国会在...之前正式向伊朗宣战吗??” into 3 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are 4月30日, 3月31日, and 12月31日.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$338.22K
30-day total
$11.27K
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
2 21, 2026 · 15:36 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果美国在市场创建至指定日期(美国东部时间23:59)之间通过国会法案正式向伊朗宣战,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
要符合条件,国会必须通过正式的宣战声明,符合《宪法》第一条第八款的授权。军事行动授权(AUMF)、行政命令、总统声明或军事行动本身不算,除非伴随国会通过并签署的正式宣战声明。
结算依据将是可信报道的明确共识。