

The question is whether “Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$40
30-day total
$1.33
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
11 5, 2026 · 05:12 GMT+3
1 1, 2028 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2028 · 08:29 GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.