

The question is whether “Lai Ching-te 在2026年12月31日前不再担任台湾总统??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
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30-day total
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Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
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24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
5 25, 2026 · 19:50 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果在市场创建至指定日期(ET)之间的任何时间段内,Lai Ching-te 不再担任台湾总统,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
在本市场结束日期之前宣布Lai Ching-te 辞职/被免职,将立即使本市场以“是”结算,无论宣布的辞职/免职何时生效。
如果指定的个人被拘留、实际被免除所述职务,或在本市场时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行该职务,则符合“是”的结算条件。
本市场的结算来源将是Lai Ching-te及台湾政府的官方信息;但也可使用可信报道的共识。