

The question is whether “伊朗在2027年前拥有核武器吗??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$50.33K
30-day total
$1.68K
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
5 1, 2026 · 10:41 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果国际核机构、伊朗政府本身或可信的全球新闻来源在2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59之前正式确认伊朗拥有核武器,则此市场将以“是”结算。
否则,此市场将以“否”结算。