

The question is whether “Friedrich Merz 在 2027 年前不再担任德国总理??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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2 22, 2026 · 18:25 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果 Friedrich Merz 在 2026 年 12 月 31 日美国东部时间晚上 11:59 前的任何时间段内不再担任德国总理,则本市场将以 “Yes” 结算。否则,本市场将以 “No” 结算。
在本市场结束日期之前宣布 Friedrich Merz 辞职/被免职,将立即使本市场以 “Yes” 结算,无论宣布的辞职/被免职何时生效。
本市场的结算来源将是德国政府,但可信报道的共识也足以作为结算依据。