China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
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The question is whether “China x Philippines military clash before 2027?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
如果在市场创建至2026年12月31日美东时间晚上11:59之间，中国（中华人民共和国）与菲律宾的军事力量之间发生军事遭遇，本市场将结算为“Yes”。否则，本市场将结算为“No”。
“军事遭遇”定义为涉及使用武力的任何事件，例如近战武器、导弹打击、炮火、交火，或其他形式的中菲军事力量之间的直接军事交战。非暴力行动，例如警告射击、向无人居住地区开炮，或导弹发射…