Outage Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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AI
OpenAI
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GPT
ChatGPT
Geopolitics
Iran
Anthropic
Claude
AWS service disrupted by...?
Vol.
$698
·
0
·
28d left
Critical Discord Incident by...?
November 30
49%
September 30
9%
October 31
3%
Vol.
$818
·
0
·
28d left
Grok (Web) Outage by...?
November 30
59%
October 31
28%
Vol.
$217
·
0
·
28d left
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in November 2026?
<3
44%
3
22%
4
17%
Vol.
$392
·
0
·
28d left
Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?
11-13
49%
5-7
41%
8-10
24%
Vol.
$231
·
0
·
28d left
GitHub.com critical incident by...?
November 13
75%
November 6
52%
Vol.
$20
·
0
·
4d left
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 31
34%
September 30
2%
August 31
1%
Vol.
$19.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
December 31
52%
November 30
49%
October 31
14%
Vol.
$15
·
0
·
28d left
Another Codex outage in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$82
·
0
·
1mo left
Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026?
12+ hours
50%
<1 hour
48%
1-3 hours
48%
Vol.
$1
·
0
·
28d left
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
November 30
32%
August 31
28%
September 30
5%
Vol.
$1.2K
·
0
·
28d left
ChatGPT Outage by...?
October 31
57%
November 15
54%
Vol.
$39
·
0
·
13d left
Iran Regime
Khamenei
