Drivers Championship Outlook
George Russell
Strongest implied championship probability with clear separation from the chasing pack.
Win Probability28%
Formula 1 World Championship·
F1 Prediction Market Odds
2026 Championship Markets
Season Finale Countdown
0Days
:00Hrs
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Real-time predictions and odds for every Formula 1 championship market.
Drivers Championship
Who will secure the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' World Championship?
Formula 1 Intelligence
Chasing Pack
Where the next-best entries sit if the leader loses momentum.
Max Verstappen
19.5% · 9 pts back
5.13x odds
+$413
Charles Leclerc
15.4% · 13 pts back
6.47x odds
+$547
Lewis Hamilton
9.7% · 19 pts back
10.36x odds
+$936
AI forecast sits at 28% for the leader. Challenger odds average 7.32x with $100 stakes returning between +$413 and +$936.
traded on F1 Championship outcomes
George Russell
Bet placed • 28% chance
3.51x
Max Verstappen
Bet placed • 20% chance
5.13x
Charles Leclerc
Bet placed • 15% chance
6.47x
George Russell
Bet placed • 28% chance
3.51x
Max Verstappen
Bet placed • 20% chance
5.13x
Charles Leclerc
Bet placed • 15% chance
6.47x
PARIFLOWGeorge Russell
Resolved • stake $70
+$176
Max Verstappen
Resolved • stake $95
+$392
Charles Leclerc
Resolved • stake $120
+$656
George Russell
Resolved • stake $70
+$176
Max Verstappen
Resolved • stake $95
+$392
Charles Leclerc
Resolved • stake $120
+$656
Turn Race Intel Into Profit
Track form shifts across the title battle and act as pricing moves after each race weekend.
Make Prediction
Choose a favorable outcome and place your order.
George Russell
$100+$251
Max Verstappen
$100+$413
Charles Leclerc
$100+$547
Lewis Hamilton
$100+$936
George Russell
$100+$251
Max Verstappen
$100+$413
Charles Leclerc
$100+$547
Lewis Hamilton
$100+$936
Max Verstappen
$300+$1,239
Charles Leclerc
$300+$1,641
Lewis Hamilton
$300+$2,808
George Russell
$300+$753
Max Verstappen
$300+$1,239
Charles Leclerc
$300+$1,641
Lewis Hamilton
$300+$2,808
George Russell
$300+$753
Charles Leclerc
$500+$2,735
Lewis Hamilton
$500+$4,680
George Russell
$500+$1,255
Max Verstappen
$500+$2,065
Charles Leclerc
$500+$2,735
Lewis Hamilton
$500+$4,680
George Russell
$500+$1,255
Max Verstappen
$500+$2,065
Trade anytime from any device.
All Contenders
9 Total1George Russell
28%2Max Verstappen
20%3Charles Leclerc
15%4Lewis Hamilton
10%5Lando Norris
9%6Kimi Antonelli
7%7Oscar Piastri
7%8Isack Hadjar
2%9Fernando Alonso
2%Related Nominations
Switch between constructors and drivers markets to compare championship contenders side by side.
Trade F1 Championship
Current market average for the top four drivers sits at 18%. Enter where the spread and payout profile matches your risk target.
Live Market Chart
Same live odds feed as the F1 championship market page.
Methodology
How F1 Odds Are Calculated
F1 odds are market-derived, not manually set. Prices update as participants bet, so the board reflects real-time consensus on championship outcomes.
Step 1
Market price reflects crowd conviction
Every driver and constructor has a live market price that represents implied win probability. If more money backs one outcome, its implied chance rises.
Step 2
Odds reprice after every meaningful trade
As new bets come in, order books rebalance and prices move. Race results, penalties, upgrades, and reliability signals all drive where participants place capital next.
Step 3
Payout is probability-driven
Displayed odds convert from implied probability. Lower probability outcomes pay more, higher probability outcomes pay less.
Full Odds Table
Live probabilities and market-implied odds for both Formula 1 championship markets.
Drivers' Champion
OpenGeorge Russell
Market Leader28.5%
3.51x odds
Max Verstappen
19.5%
5.13x odds
Charles Leclerc
15.4%
6.47x odds
Lewis Hamilton
9.7%
10.36x odds
Lando Norris
9.0%
11.11x odds
Kimi Antonelli
6.7%
15.04x odds
Oscar Piastri
6.5%
15.38x odds
Isack Hadjar
1.8%
57.14x odds
Fernando Alonso
1.6%
64.52x odds
Constructors' Champion
OpenMercedes
Market Leader36.5%
2.74x odds
Ferrari
26.0%
3.85x odds
McLaren
21.5%
4.65x odds
Red Bull Racing
10.5%
9.52x odds
Aston Martin
2.3%
44.44x odds
Drivers' Champion
Open Market| Outcome | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
George Russell Leader | 28.5% | 3.51x |
Max Verstappen | 19.5% | 5.13x |
Charles Leclerc | 15.4% | 6.47x |
Lewis Hamilton | 9.7% | 10.36x |
Lando Norris | 9.0% | 11.11x |
Kimi Antonelli | 6.7% | 15.04x |
Oscar Piastri | 6.5% | 15.38x |
Isack Hadjar | 1.8% | 57.14x |
Fernando Alonso | 1.6% | 64.52x |
Constructors' Champion
Open Market| Outcome | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
Mercedes Leader | 36.5% | 2.74x |
Ferrari | 26.0% | 3.85x |
McLaren | 21.5% | 4.65x |
Red Bull Racing | 10.5% | 9.52x |
Aston Martin | 2.3% | 44.44x |
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about trading Formula 1 prediction markets.
F1 odds are implied by live market prices. As people place bets on drivers or constructors, prices move and implied probabilities update in real time.