Each outcome asks whether “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.

The available deadlines are December 31, 2026, October 31, 2026, December 31, 2025, and March 31, 2026.

Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.