Ends 2/28/2026

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Name: Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Start: 2026-02-10T18:28:34.417Z
End: 2026-02-28T12:00:00.000Z

Will new trade policies boost customs revenue past $250 billion in 2025? Bet on the future of U.S. tariff collections!

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Resolution Rules

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.