This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volume$944K•EndsOct 10, 2026•
Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 26, 2026 · 12:56am GMT+3
Market closes
Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00am GMT+3
Projected payout
Oct 10, 2026 · 3:30am GMT+3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Yulia Navalnaya· $209K
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy· $150K
6%
UNRWA· $111K
4%
Pope Leo XIV· $81K
3%
International Court of Justice· $64K
2%
Donald Trump· $64K
2%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani· $57K
2%
Narendra Modi· $34K
1%
Julian Assange· $34K
1%
Greta Thunberg· $27K
1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa· $26K
1%
António Guterres· $18K
1%
Xi Jinping· $16K
1%
Khaled Mashal· $13K
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan· $9K
0%
Benjamin Netanyahu· $8K
0%
Charlie Kirk· $7K
0%
Mohammed bin Salman· $7K
0%
Elon Musk· $5K
0%
Vladimir Putin· $4K
0%
Yulia Navalnaya· $209K
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy· $150K
6%
UNRWA· $111K
4%
Pope Leo XIV· $81K
3%
International Court of Justice· $64K
2%
Donald Trump· $64K
2%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani· $57K
2%
Narendra Modi· $34K
1%
Julian Assange· $34K
1%
Greta Thunberg· $27K
1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa· $26K
1%
António Guterres· $18K
1%
Xi Jinping· $16K
1%
Khaled Mashal· $13K
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan· $9K
0%
Benjamin Netanyahu· $8K
0%
Charlie Kirk· $7K
0%
Mohammed bin Salman· $7K
0%
Elon Musk· $5K
0%
Vladimir Putin· $4K
0%
Yulia Navalnaya· $209K
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy· $150K
6%
UNRWA· $111K
4%
Pope Leo XIV· $81K
3%
International Court of Justice· $64K
2%
Donald Trump· $64K
2%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani· $57K
2%
Narendra Modi· $34K
1%
Julian Assange· $34K
1%
Greta Thunberg· $27K
1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa· $26K
1%
António Guterres· $18K
1%
Xi Jinping· $16K
1%
Khaled Mashal· $13K
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan· $9K
0%
Benjamin Netanyahu· $8K
0%
Charlie Kirk· $7K
0%
Mohammed bin Salman· $7K
0%
Elon Musk· $5K
0%
Vladimir Putin· $4K
0%
Yulia Navalnaya· $209K
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy· $150K
6%
UNRWA· $111K
4%
Pope Leo XIV· $81K
3%
International Court of Justice· $64K
2%
Donald Trump· $64K
2%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani· $57K
2%
Narendra Modi· $34K
1%
Julian Assange· $34K
1%
Greta Thunberg· $27K
1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa· $26K
1%
António Guterres· $18K
1%
Xi Jinping· $16K
1%
Khaled Mashal· $13K
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan· $9K
0%
Benjamin Netanyahu· $8K
0%
Charlie Kirk· $7K
0%
Mohammed bin Salman· $7K
0%
Elon Musk· $5K
0%
Vladimir Putin· $4K
0%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Market Odds | Pariflow