
Each outcome asks whether “Next Mythos-Class Model released?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are September 30, September 1, July 31, October 31, September 2, September 7, September 15, September 9, September 4, and August 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Jun 24, 2026 · 1:51am GMT+3
Sep 7, 2026 · 3:00am GMT+3
Sep 7, 2026 · 3:30am GMT+3
Daily volume
-1.7% 24h$246.9K
Aug 31 volume
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Each outcome asks whether “Next Mythos-Class Model released?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are September 30, September 1, July 31, October 31, September 2, September 7, September 15, September 9, September 4, and August 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Jun 24, 2026 · 1:51am GMT+3
Sep 7, 2026 · 3:00am GMT+3
Sep 7, 2026 · 3:30am GMT+3
Daily volume
-1.7% 24h$246.9K
Aug 31 volume
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
September 30· $4K | 93% | |
September 1· $2K | 43% | |
October 31· $4K | 96% | |
September 2· $3K | 60% |
September 30· $4K | 93% | |
September 1· $2K | 43% | |
October 31· $4K | 96% | |
September 2· $3K | 60% |