Ends 3/31/2026

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Name: Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Start: 2026-02-10T21:31:03.187Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Will the capture of Nicolás Maduro be exposed as a staged operation? A high-stakes geopolitical mystery unfolding before March 31, 2026.

Order Type

Use balance$0.00 available

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.

Volume:$11.8k

0.9%

PARIFLOW

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.