Ends 2/28/2026

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Name: Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Start: 2026-02-10T18:19:06.383Z
End: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

Will Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei be ousted by February 28? A pivotal moment for Iran's political future.

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Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.