

Each outcome asks whether “Grok Bot on the free plan?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are October 31 and December 31.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$294
30-day total
$9.8
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
Oct 3, 2026 · 3:16pm GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 7:59am GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 8:29am GMT+3
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. SpaceXAI's similar product, Grok Bot, launched on August 11, 2026, is available only on paid SuperGrok and Cursor plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI makes Grok Bot available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify.
Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.