

The question is whether “民主党会赢得所有“核心四”参议院选举吗??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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5 25, 2026 · 20:05 GMT+3
11 4, 2026 · 07:59 GMT+3
11 4, 2026 · 08:29 GMT+3
本市场将在代表民主党(Democratic Party)的候选人在2026年美国中期参议院选举中赢得乔治亚州、密歇根州、北卡罗来纳州和缅因州(包括任何决选)时,结算为 “Yes”。如果候选人是该党提名的候选人,则视为代表该党。除民主党提名人之外的候选人(例如绿党、自由党、独立人士)不计入。以独立身份参选的候选人不视为民主党人,无论其是否与该党有任何关联。本市场的结算来源为美联社(Associated Press)、福克斯新闻(Fox News)和NBC。本市场将在所有三个来源对所有相关选区均确认同一候选人后结算。如果三个来源均未对相关选区确认同一候选人,本市场将使用官方选举结果认证进行结算。