Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
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The question is whether “阿根廷会在12月31日前让Peter Thiel成为公民吗？?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
如果阿根廷在2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59之前让Peter Thiel成为公民，则本市场将以“是”结算。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。
Peter Thiel本人表示有意申请阿根廷公民身份的声明不足以使本市场以“是”结算。阿根廷或其代表发表的含糊或有条件的意向声明也不足以使本市场达到“是”结算。只有阿根廷实际让Peter Thiel成为公民才算作“是”。
荣誉公民身份也算作“是”。
本市场将依据阿根廷代表或Peter Thiel的声明进行结算。也可能依据可信报道的共识进行结算。