

The question is whether “Anthropic 会在 12 月 31 日前翻转 BTC 吗??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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5 25, 2026 · 19:42 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果在市场创建至 2026 年 12 月 31 日美国东部时间晚上 11:59 之间,Anthropic 的公开估值在任何时点超过比特币 (BTC) 的市值,则本市场将以 “Yes” 结算。否则,本市场将以 “No” 结算。
比特币的数据将使用 CoinGecko 上的 BTC 数据,当前可在 https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin 查看。如果 CoinGecko 停止显示相关数据,将改用 CoinMarketCap 的数据。
对于 Anthropic,任何公开估值或对公司估值的私募融资轮都将被视为有效。要符合条件,估值必须由 Anthropic 明确确认或得到可信报道的压倒性共识。
决议来源将是 CoinGecko 和 Anthropic 的官方沟通;但也可能使用可信报道的共识。