

The question is whether “Vance宣布他今年不会参加2028年总统竞选??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$800
30-day total
$26.67
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
5 27, 2026 · 21:40 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果在市场创建至2026年12月31日,东部时间晚上11:59之间,JD Vance宣布他将不会参加2028年美国总统选举,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
合格的声明必须明确表示Vance不会在2028年参选总统,或永不参选总统。仅表示Vance尚未决定是否参选的说法不符合资格。
本市场的主要结算来源将是JD Vance本人或其官方代表的正式信息;但可信报道的共识亦可作为依据。