The outcomes break “2026年美国麻疹病例数??” into 10 separately evaluated possibilities.
The market includes 10 possibilities, including ↑7.5k, ↑10k, ↑5k, and ↑7k.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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2 10, 2026 · 21:19 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果在2026年1月1日美国东部时间上午12:00至2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59期间,根据CDC病例计数器确认的美国境内人类麻疹(风疹)病例数达到或超过指定数量,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
本市场的结算来源将是CDC麻疹(风疹)计数器(参见:https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html)在结算时的数值。如果计数器不可用,将使用其他可信来源。
注意:仅以CDC麻疹(风疹)计数器报告的病例计入,无论美国州机构或其他来源的报告如何。