

The question is whether “Howard Lutnick 在12月31日前不再担任商务部长??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$764
30-day total
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Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
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24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
5 25, 2026 · 19:57 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果 Howard Lutnick 在本市场创建至2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59之间的任何时间段内不再担任美国商务部长,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
在本市场结束日期前宣布 Lutnick 辞职/被免职,将立即使本市场以“是”结算,无论宣布的辞职/免职何时生效。
本市场的结算来源将是特朗普政府的官方信息,但也可使用可信报道的共识。