

The outcomes compare the listed numeric thresholds or ranges for “Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?”
The listed thresholds or ranges are 50%+, 55%+, 60%+, 65%+, and 70%+.
The measured value, observation time, source, and treatment of boundary values are defined in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$3.67K
30-day total
$122.2
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
7 24, 2026 · 02:11 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable d