

The question is whether “法国是否会在2027年12月31日前债务违约??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$4
30-day total
$0.13
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
10 21, 2026 · 03:28 GMT+3
1 1, 2028 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2028 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果法国政府在市场创建至2027年12月31日东部时间晚上11:59之间的任何时点未能按计划支付任何法国政府票据、债券或国库券,则本市场将结算为“是”。否则,本市场将结算为“否”。
如果标准普尔、穆迪或惠誉在合格期间公开将任何法国主权债务归类为违约,则符合“是”结算条件。
结算来源将是法国财政部 (Agence France Trésor)、标准普尔、穆迪和惠誉的官方信息。