

The question is whether “2026年埃博拉大流行??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$28.3K
30-day total
$943.25
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
5 25, 2026 · 19:40 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果世界卫生组织在市场创建至2026年12月31日美国东部时间晚上11:59之间的官方公开沟通中明确将埃博拉病毒病、埃博拉、任何埃博拉株或任何埃博拉疫情描述为“流行病”,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
明确的描述包括官方WHO声明、报告、新闻发布会或出版物,清晰地将疫情称为“流行病”。仅仅宣布为国际关注的公共卫生紧急事件(PHEIC)不构成此条件,除非同时被描述为流行病。
本市场的主要结算来源将是官方WHO沟通。可信报道的共识也可作为参考。