

The question is whether “Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$45
30-day total
$1.5
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
Eki 31, 2026 · 00:19 GMT+3
Oca 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
Oca 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryeh Deri ceases to be Leader of Shas for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Aryeh Deri's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aryeh Deri and Shas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.