Market overview
The outcomes break “Test de vol SpaceX Starship 15 ?” into 7 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are Les baguettes attrapent Starship ?, November 15, 2026, 30 novembre 2026, Le booster Super Heavy explose ?, 31 octobre 2026, Les baguettes attrapent le booster Super Heavy ?, and Successful splash down?.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.