This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jim Jordan
45%
Pete Aguilar
45%
Hakeem Jeffries
45%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
45%
Joe Neguse
45%
Steve Scalise
45%
Ted Lieu
45%
Lisa McClain
45%
Katherine Clark
44%
Tom Emmer
43%
Jim Jordan
45%
Pete Aguilar
45%
Hakeem Jeffries
45%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
45%
Joe Neguse
45%
Steve Scalise
45%
Ted Lieu
45%
Lisa McClain
45%
Katherine Clark
44%
Tom Emmer
43%
House Majority Leader of the next Congress? — Stats & Predictions